Research summary
Russian media covered the Mueller investigation by denying the meddling claims in 86% of texts, and not one text conceded them even hypothetically

Summarising the article
Trump, Mueller Investigation, and Alleged Russian Election Meddling: Russian Media Coverage in 2017-2019
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Pavel Slutskiy · American Behavioral Scientist · 2020
The question
After the 2016 U.S. election came accusations that the Russian government had interfered to help Trump, leading to the Special Counsel investigation under Mueller and its report in 2019. This study asks how Russian media told that story to audiences at home: their stance toward Trump, toward the accusations, the reasons they gave, and the picture of the United States they assembled. It is the third study in the series.
How it was done
Content analysis of three national dailies and one state television channel, taking every text that matched a keyword list (U.S. elections, Russia, Russian interference, Mueller, the Senate commission and so on) between January 2017 and September 2019, from the national library and two media databases, translated by the authors. The denial frames came from a separate procedure: 200 texts were selected, six experts (two journalists, two philologists, two political-communication specialists) each picked up to five typical frames, the frames were merged and then agreed in a group discussion. An aggressive frame, “you will never prove it, though everyone knows we did it”, was deliberately added to the codebook to test whether it existed.
What it found
- The stance toward Trump was overwhelmingly neutral. 84.1% of texts carried no assessment of him, 10.9% were positive and 5.0% negative. The positive share rose every year (2.5 → 11.6 → 17.8) while the negative share fluctuated rather than grew (5.0 → 4.5 → 5.9).
- Outlets differed. State television was neutral in 91.6% of texts; the business daily published no positive text at all and had the highest negative share (8.7%); the government's paper was positive in 21.7%; the tabloid in 26.9%.
- The meddling claims were denied in 86% of texts (explicitly or implicitly), reported without discussion in 14%, and acknowledged in 0%, in every outlet and every year. Among denials, the explicit kind rose from 54.9% in 2017 to 85% in 2019.
- Three denial frames. “There is no evidence, let the U.S. provide it” 44.2% (from 71.5% in 2017 down to 21.4% in 2019); “not our business, we will not justify ourselves” 32.7% (from 21.4% up to 42.9%); “a hoax made up to cause Russia problems” 23.1% (from 7.1% up to 35.7%). The aggressive frame added as a check was found in zero texts.
- Each outlet leaned on a different frame. The tabloid used the hoax frame in 72% of its texts; the business daily used “no evidence” in 81%; the government paper used “not our business” in 66%; state television denied the claims in 98.4%.
- Reasons given for the accusations: internal U.S. conflict and the fight against Trump 47.2% (from 32.4% up to 61.2%); incompetence or self-interest of intelligence services and politicians 31.9% (from 44.1% down to 12.2%); Russophobia 11.8%; other 9.1%. State television favoured incompetence (55.2%) while all three newspapers favoured internal U.S. conflict (61% to 69%).
- Language tools: plain words of negation such as “groundless accusations” 48.5%; emotionally loaded words such as “hysteria” and “paranoia” 26.8%; mockery and sarcasm 15.0%; scare quotes 9.7% (jumping to 22.3% in 2019).
- The authors conclude there was no single centrally set line, since outlets chose different frames, but that every outlet assembled the same picture of the United States: conflict-ridden, incompetent, Russophobic and dangerous to the world.
Why it matters
Denial is not one thing. The study supplies a three-frame vocabulary — no evidence, not our business, hoax — that can be used to code how government-aligned media anywhere handle accusations. The measurable signal is the drift over time from “show us the evidence” to “not our business”, which marks the moment the narrator stops arguing on the facts.
Limits to know before citing this
The article does not report the total number of texts in the sample, so percentages cannot be converted into counts. The authors coded the material themselves with no agreement statistic (the six experts served only to select frames). One sentence in the article says 84.1% of texts “contained” an assessment of Trump, while every table and figure shows 84.1% as the share that contained none; this summary follows the tables. Text analysis cannot show what audiences believed. The study examines how media treated the accusations, not the accusations themselves; the article's own introduction notes that the Special Counsel report concluded interference did occur in a sweeping and systematic fashion. This summary deliberately names no outlets and no individuals other than Trump and the investigation that define the study's scope.
Cite this work
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Gavra, D., & Slutskiy, P. (2020). Trump, Mueller investigation, and alleged Russian election meddling: Russian media coverage in 2017-2019. American Behavioral Scientist, 65(3), 482-511. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764220978455
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